What are the chances there will be a white Thanksgiving and a white Christmas?

Gabor Degre | BDN

Gabor Degre | BDN

We’ve had some very mild weather on Dec. 25 for the past couple of years, with the high temperature reaching 54 degrees. That’s warm enough for Santa to shave the beard and put on some shorts.

Here at the BDN office, we wondered if Thanksgiving has been “whiter” than Christmas in recent years. So, we looked at the last five years of weather for Christmas and Thanksgiving in Bangor, according to Weather Underground.

Nov. 2014 had a whopping 25.9 inches of snow, more than any other month we looked at. The most important factor of a “white” holiday is to have snow on the ground. Three of the last five Thanksgivings have had some amount of snow depth. The mean of the five months is four inches.

Snowfall Christmas

Very few of the last five Christmases in Bangor had snow at all, with trace amounts falling in 2013 and 3.6 inches falling in 2011. Only two Christmases had any snow on the ground. Mean snow depth is lower than in November, being only 2.4 inches.

Out of the last five years, there was only one year where there was snow depth on Thanksgiving and Christmas, and that was 2011.

Looking at the Farmer’s Almanac for 2017, Nov. 24 is during a time of “rain to snow, then sunny, cold.” Right before it on Nov. 18-22, “snowstorm then showers.” It’s looking like a white Thanksgiving after all.

For the winter, the Almanac says it will colder than normal with normal snowfalls. Snow is mentioned for every period in December.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has a probability chart for a white Christmas by state. They haven’t updated it for 2016 yet, but expect that in mid-December.

My bet is on a white Thanksgiving and a white Christmas. What do you think?